29 October 2008

Kudos

Welcome to the kudos list: people or events getting a thumbs up.

Craig Ferguson

26 October 2008

Counterinsurgency

I don't have time to go into the details, unfortunately, so here's the big picture: It isn't a guerrilla or terrorist attack that brings down a nation. It is that nation's overreaction to it. This is a well established principle of counterinsurgency warfare, and it's the reason Al-Qaeda would like to see John McCain elected president.

Time article

21 October 2008

Promotion rates for USAF officers

Another email I got recently. I'm not sure where the formatting comes from, but I have gotten messages in this format (all caps, spacing, date+time formats) my whole career. Perhaps it comes from the old teletype message days. I'm also not certain on all the vocabulary and acronyms used. There must be a massive dictionary of such things in the basement of the Pentagon, or somewhere.

~~~

252100Z SEP 08

FROM: HQ AFPC RANDOLPH AFB TX//DPS//

TO: AL 8106

AL ALPERSCOM

AL 10607

SUBJ: DAY 66 - CY08D COL (CHAP), CY08C LTC (CHAP/LAF-J) & MAJ (LAF/LAF-J) PRF ALLOCATION DATE

1. 26 SEP 08 IS DAY 66 FOR THE SUBJECT CENTRAL SELECTION BOARDS. THE FOLLOWING MESSAGE PROVIDES DP ALLOCATION RATES FOR ALL COMPETITIVE CATEGORIES. ALSO INCLUDED ARE THE NUMBER OF AGGREGATE AND CARRY-OVER DP RECOMMENDATIONS AVAILABLE FOR AWARD BY THE AF NON-LINE MLR, BEING HELD 21 OCT 08 AT HQ AFPC.

2. THE DP ALLOCATION RATES FOR THIS BOARD ARE AS FOLLOWS:

GRADE COMP PROM IPZ DP BPZ DP

CAT OPP RATE RATE

COL CHAP 40% 10% 10%

LT COL CHAP 75% 50% 10%

LT COL LAF-J 85% 45% 10%

MAJ LAF 95% 75% N/A

MAJ LAF-J 95% 75% N/A

NOTE: REMEMBER THAT PROMOTION OPPORTUNITY FOR THE MC/DC TO MAJOR AND LT COL I/APZ IS 100% AND PRFS ARE NOT REQUIRED. EXCEPTIONS: SENIOR RATERS WILL PREPARE PRFS ON ALL OFFICERS WHO RECEIVE A "DO NOT PROMOTE" (DNP) RECOMMENDATION AND ON ALL OFFICERS WHO RECEIVE A "PROMOTE" (P) RECOMMENDATION, BUT HAVE DEROGATORY INFORMATION (ARTICLE 15, COURT-MARTIAL, REFERRAL REPORT, LOR, ETC.) FILED IN THEIR OFFICER SELECTION RECORD (OSR).

3. AGGREGATE AND CARRY-OVER DP RECOMMENDATIONS AVAILABLE FOR THE AF NON-LINE MLR (21 OCT 08) ARE:

AGGREGATE CARRY-OVER

GRADE COMP CAT DPS AVAIL DPS AVAIL

COLONEL CHAP 1 N/A

LT COL CHAP 4 1

LT COL LAF-J 2 4

MAJ LAF-J 6 3

4. MANAGEMENT LEVELS (MLS) WHICH CAN AGGREGATE (I.E., DO NOT HAVE THE MINIMUM GROUP SIZE TO AWARD A DP RECOMMENDATION) OFFICERS TO THE AF NON-LINE MLR MAY SUBMIT A NUMBER OF OFFICERS EQUAL TO THE NUMBER OF DPS AVAILABLE THROUGH AGGREGATION AND CARRY-OVER. EXAMPLE: THE MAJ LAF-J CATEGORY HAS 6 DPS IN AGGREGATION AND 3 DPS IN CARRY-OVER; THEREFORE, MLS THAT AGGREGATE CAN SUBMIT UP TO 9 I/APZ OFFICERS TO THE AF NON-LINE MLR.

5. MLS WHICH DO NOT AGGREGATE (THAT IS, THEY DO HAVE THE MINIMUM GROUP SIZE TO AWARD A DP RECOMMENDATION) MAY ONLY SUBMIT OFFICERS TO COMPETE FOR CARRY-OVER DPS AVAILABLE. USING THE ABOVE EXAMPLE AGAIN, SINCE THE MAJ LAF-J CATEGORY HAS 3 DPS AVAILABLE IN CARRY-OVER, THE MLS MAY SUBMIT UP TO 3 I/APZ OFFICERS TO COMPETE.

6. PLEASE REMIND SENIOR RATERS THAT AFI 36-2406, OFFICER AND ENLISTED EVALUATION SYSTEMS, PROHIBITS UNDERLINING, CAPITALIZING, ETC., TO MERELY EMPHASIZE COMMENTS (E.G., CAPITALIZING "DEFINITELY PROMOTE" ON SECTION IV). SENIOR RATERS ARE PROHIBITED FROM MENTIONING PREVIOUS PRF RATINGS, FAMILY ACTIVITIES, AND OTHER ITEMS INCLUDED IN PARA 3.7. ADDITIONALLY, COMMENTS ON SELECTION STATUS ON THE SCHOOLS LIST, SELECTION FOR, COMPLETION OF, OR ENROLLMENT IN DEVELOPMENTAL EDUCATION OR ADVANCE ACADEMIC EDUCATION ARE PROHIBITED (EXCEPTION: THOSE OFFICERS WHO HAVE BEEN DESIGNATED TO ATTEND SCHOOL ARE AUTHORIZED TO HAVE COMMENTS "ON THE WAY TO IDE/SDE" OR "FOLLOWING SDE MAKE HIM MSG/CC" ON THE PRF/OPR THAT CLOSES OUT JUST PRIOR TO DEPARTURE PER MPFM 07-45.) FURTHERMORE MPFM 07-45 STATES NO MENTION OF SPECIFC SCHOOLS ARE AUTHORIZED ON ANY EVALUATION, ONLY "BDE, IDE OR SDE" MAY BE USED FOR DEVELOPMENTAL EDUCATION. PRFS NOT IN COMPLIANCE SHOULD BE RETURNED TO SENIOR RATERS FOR CORRECTION. IT REMAINS YOUR RESPONSIBILITY TO ENSURE THE SENIOR RATERS YOU SUPPORT KNOW THE RULES.

7. MANAGEMENT LEVELS SHOULD GIVE SPECIFIC ATTENTION TO THE "GROUP SIZE" BLOCK ON ALL PRFS TO ENSURE ACCURACY. THE GUIDELINES IN DETERMINING GROUP SIZE CAN BE FOUND IN AFI 36-2406, TABLE 8.2.

8. SINCE AFPROMS (FORMALLY PRISM) WILL BE USED TO BUILD THE FILES ON CANDIDATES MEETING THE AF NON-LINE MLR, IT IS IMPERATIVE THAT MLS UPDATE THE APPROPRIATE CODES INTO AFPROMS IMMEDIATELY AFTER THEIR MLRS HAVE ADJOURNED. MLS MUST ENTER A PRF RATING OF "A" FOR AGGREGATE CANDIDATES AND "C" FOR CARRY-OVER CANDIDATES IN AFPROMS. AS A REMINDER, PRFS PREPARED ON OFFICERS WHO WILL BE SUBMITTED FOR AGGREGATION OR CARRY-OVER SHOULD NOT BE MARKED IN SECTION IX, OVERALL RECOMMENDATION. FORWARD ONLY AGG/C-O PRFS TO HQ AFPC/DPSIDEB, 550 C STREET WEST, SUITE 7, RANDOLPH AFB TX 78150-4709, TO ARRIVE NLT 28 OCT 08. ALL OTHER PRFS WILL BE FORWARDED TO AFPC/PBSE NLT 2 NOV 08.

9. POC FOR THIS MESSAGE IS AFPC/DPSIDEB, DSN 665-2697/2753 (COMM 210 565-2697/2753), FAX DSN 665-2326 (COMM 210 565-2326). E-MAIL ADDRESS IS: AFPC.MLR@RANDOLPH AF.MIL

//SIGNED//

DIRECTOR, PERSONNEL SERVICES


~~~

published 26 oct 08

USAF demographics

I periodically get the USAF demographics mailed to me, they are an interesting look at the service.

-----Original Message-----
From: Air Force Personnel Center News Service [mailto:AFPC.News@randolph.af.mil]
Sent: Monday, October 20, 2008 12:22 PM
To: Witt, David
Subject: AFPC News Service Oct. 20, 2008: Service demographics offer snapshot of force

Welcome to the Air Force Personnel Center News Service



Oct. 20, 2008
Release No. 126

Service demographics offer snapshot of force

RANDOLPH AIR FORCE BASE, Texas -- Air Force Personnel Center officials here recently published a demographics report offering a snapshot of the service's active-duty and civilian force. This data is current as of Sept. 30 and can also be found at http://www.afpc.randolph.af.mil/ under Air Force Demographics.

Statistics are rounded to the nearest tenth.

Active-duty demographics:

Snapshot of the Air Force
- 322, 897 individuals are on active duty
-- 64,805 officers and 258,092 enlisted personnel
- The Air Force has 13,242 pilots, 4,213 navigators, 1,282 air battle managers and 30,047 nonrated line officers in the grades of lieutenant colonel and below

Age
- The average age of the officer force is 35; for enlisted Airmen, it's
29
- Of the force, 38.47 percent are below the age of 26
-- 44.58 percent of enlisted Airmen are below 26 versus 14.11 percent of officers

Gender
- 19.6 percent of the force are women
-- 18.31 percent of the officers are women and 19.92 percent of the enlisted corps are women
-- 59.6 percent of the female officers are line officers; 40.4 percent are nonline
- 84.86 percent of the male officers are line officers; 15.14 percent are nonline
- The population of women is 63,272
- Women first entered pilot training in 1976, navigator training in 1977 and fighter pilot training in 1993
-- Currently, there are 601 (4.21 percent) female pilots, 246 (5.41
percent) female navigators and 151 air battle managers (11.3 percent)

Race of Airmen
The following percentages, which are self-reported, cover Air Force military members' racial information.
- 0.62 percent reported their race to be American Indian or native Alaskan
- 2.48 percent reported their race to be Asian
- 14.71 percent reported their race to be black or African American
- 0.97 percent reported their race to be native Hawaiian or other Pacific Islander
- 73.54 percent reported their race to be white
- 1.87 percent reported their race to be more than one of the categories

- 5.79 percent declined to report their race

Ethnicity
"Hispanic or Latino" is now considered an ethnic, not a racial, category that is registered separately and in addition to the above racial categories.
- 9.7 percent of Airmen call themselves "Hispanic/Latino"
- 86.58 percent "not Hispanic/Latino"
-- 3.72 declined to respond

Marital status
- 60.2 percent of the current force is married, which is 71.66 percent of the officers and 57.33 percent of enlisted Airmen
- There are 19,287 couples in the Air Force with both spouses in the military
-- 1,395 of these are married to members of other military services

Family members
- Active-duty members support 492,002 family members
-- 387,180 family members reside in an Airman's household

Overseas
- 20.95 percent of the current force is assigned overseas (including Alaska and Hawaii)
-- 9,697 officers and 57,937 enlisted personnel

Total active federal military service
- The average total active federal military service is 11 years for officers and 8 years for enlisted Airmen

Officer academic education
- 51.85 percent of the officers have advanced or professional degrees
-- 41.13 percent have master's degrees, 9.32 percent have professional degrees and 1.39 percent have doctorate degrees
-- 25.99 percent of company grade officers have advanced degrees, 19.16 percent have master's degrees, 6.56 percent have professional degrees and 0.27 percent have doctorate degrees
-- 85.63 percent of field grade officers have advanced degrees, 69.76 percent have master's degrees, 13 percent have professional degrees and
2.87 percent have doctorate degrees

Enlisted academic education
- 71.2 percent have some semester hours towards a college degree
-- 78 percent of Airmen
-- 77 percent of NCOs
-- 26 percent of senior NCOs
- 17.91 percent have an associate's degree or equivalent semester hours
-- 1.6 percent of Airmen
-- 18 percent of NCOs
-- 51 percent of senior NCOs
- 5.22 percent have a bachelor's degree
-- 1.7 percent of Airmen
-- 3.9 percent of NCOs
-- 18 percent of senior NCOs
- 0.83 percent have a master's degree
-- .02 percent of Airmen
-- .39 percent of NCOs
-- 4.4 percent of senior NCOs
- .01 percent have a professional or doctorate degree

Component
- 99.28 percent of the officers have a regular commission
-- 99.53 percent of the line officers have a regular commission

Developmental education
- 61.83 percent of the officers have completed one or more professional military education or developmental education courses either in residence or by correspondence.
-- 9,668 have completed at least one senior service school or senior developmental education course, 12,431have completed an intermediate level course while 17,972 have completed Squadron Officer School.

Source of commission
- 20.57 percent of the officers were commissioned through the Air Force Academy, 42.88 percent through Reserve Officer Training Corps and 19.38 percent through Officer Training School.
-- The remaining 17.17 percent were commissioned through other sources (direct appointment, etc.).

Civilian employee demographics

Total civilian strength
- There are 141,937 civilian employees
-- 77.4 percent are "white collar" and 22.6 percent are "blue collar"

Citizenship
- 132,665 are U.S. citizens including U.S. nationals (10,134 are Air Force Reserve technicians)
- 9,270 are foreign national employees
- Two are other non-U.S. employees in the United States or a U.S.
territory

Age
- The average age is 46.6 years

Length of service
- The average length of service is 15.3 years

Retirement eligibility
- 25.3 percent become eligible in more than 20 years
- 29.5 percent become eligible in 11-20 years
- 17.6 percent become eligible in 6-10 years
- 17.3 percent become eligible in 1-5 years
- 8.5 percent became eligible 0-5 years ago
- 1.9 percent became eligible more than 5 years ago

Gender
- 33.4 percent are female and 66.9 percent are male

Race
The following percentages cover self-reported Air Force civilian members' racial information.
- 1.1 percent reported their race to be American Indian or native Alaskan
- 5 percent reported their race to be Asian
- 11.9 percent reported their race to be black or African American
- 0.3 percent reported their race to be native Hawaiian or other Pacific Islander
- 70.3 percent reported their race to be white
- 0.5 percent reported their race to be more than one of the categories
- 10.9 percent declined to report their race

Ethnicity
"Hispanic or Latino" is now considered an ethnic, not a racial, category that is registered separately and in addition to the above racial categories.
- 7 percent of airmen call themselves "Hispanic/Latino"
- 92.9 percent "not Hispanic/Latino"

Overseas
- 10.9 percent of the total civilian work force is assigned overseas
- 40.3 percent are U.S. citizens including U.S. Nationals.
- 59.7 percent are local nationals

Military service
- 3.1 percent of the civilian work force are retired officers
- 16.2 percent of the civilian work force are retired enlisted
- 29.5 percent of the civilian work force have some military service (not retired)
- 51.2 percent have no military service

Education (white collar)
- 25.3 percent have a bachelor's degree
-- 18 percent have a master's degree and 2 percent have a doctorate or professional degree
- 23 percent have an associate's degree or have accumulated hours toward a bachelor's degree
- 28.4 percent have at least a high school education
- 1.5 percent have less than a high school diploma

Education (blue collar)
- 3.9 percent have a bachelor's degree
-- 0.3 percent have a master's degree
- 26.2 percent have an associate's degree or have accumulated hours toward a bachelor's degree
- 67.9 percent have at least a high school education or equivalent
- 1.4 percent have less than a high school diploma

Developmental education
- 6,684 civilian employees have completed one or more military schools
-- 3,764 have completed Squadron Officer School
-- 3,544 have completed intermediate developmental education
-- 2,067 have completed senior developmental education

Executive-level training
- 323 employees have completed executive-level training
-- 25 Congressional fellowship programs
-- 270 executive and senior executive leadership
-- 24 public administration graduate school
-- 10 management graduate school

For more information, go to Air Force Personnel Statistics on AFPC's "Ask" Web site.


-- 30 --


The Air Force Personnel Center -- putting the Right People in the Right Place at the Right Time.
For more AFPC news and information, log on to our Web site at http://www.afpc.randolph.af.mil.
________________________________________________________________________
_________

You can now manage all your Air Force subscriptions from one location.
Go to http://www.af.mil/subscribe/

--------
You are currently subscribed to afpcns as: david.witt@X.mil If you wish to cancel your subscription at anytime, simply send a blank e-mail to leave-1996568-3494590.016c4ee232d47c87f6bde1ff4d544ea1@mercury.afnews.af
.mil.

~~~
published 26 oct 08

14 October 2008

The official release on the new non-rated UAV pilot program. See previous entries 1 and 2.

-----Original Message-----
From: Air Force Personnel Center News Service [mailto:AFPC.News@randolph.af.mil]
Sent: Monday, October 06, 2008 11:34 AM
To: Witt, David
Subject: AFPC News Service Oct. 6, 2008: Officer volunteers wanted for UAS

Welcome to the Air Force Personnel Center News Service

Oct. 6, 2008

Release No. 121

Officer volunteers wanted for UAS

RANDOLPH AIR FORCE BASE, Texas - Air Force officers are currently being sought to volunteer for unmanned aircraft system operators. Applications are due to Air Force Personnel Center no later than Nov. 3.

The first ten officers selected will start UAS operator training in January 2009, and another ten will begin training in April 2009.

The UAS is a big part of the future of the Air Force, said Air Force officials. First-hand knowledge of its capabilities and operations will be critical to future combat effectiveness as well as future Air Force leadership. Pilots flying operational missions or working in the Predator Operations Center get a unique perspective on world events, typically while such events are in progress.

In order to volunteer, officers must complete the test of basic aviation skills (TBAS) by Oct. 31. Testing locations that administer the TBAS can be found on the Pilot Candidate Selection Method Web site (Common Access Card is required to access this site).

In addition to the TBAS, officers must meet the following requirements:

-- Captains with 4-6 years total active federal commissioned service as of Jan. 5, 2009
-- Pilots are not eligible for this program
-- Combat System Officers, Panel Navigators, Electronic Warfare Officers, Weapons System
-- Officers, and Air Battle Managers are eligible to compete if they are not currently in training, awaiting training, or previously eliminated from UPT
-- Non-rated line officers are eligible
-- Be less than 30 years old Jan. 5, 2009
-- Air Force Officer Qualification Test minimum scores of pilot greater than twenty-five, combined pilot and navigator composites greater than fifty (if no AFOQT on file, complete the AFOQT by Oct. 31, 2008)
-- Two years time on station by July 1, 2009
-- No previous military pilot training experience

Volunteers meeting the criteria above and wanting to apply must complete the Aircrew Training Candidate Data Summery, Air Force Form 215, and electronically forward the completed form to Pipeline and Training Assignment Branch at specialflyingprogram@randolph.af.mil by 4 p.m. CST, Nov. 3, 2008. Group or squadron commanders (do not use a higher level) must provide their recommendations on the form. No other documentation will be accepted as part of the application process.

Interested officers that have questions about the application process, or the qualifications, can contact AFPC's Pipeline and Training Assignment Branch at (210) 565-2330, DSN 665-2330.

More information about this program can be found on the AFPC "Ask" site by entering "UAS" in the search engine. Individuals can also contact the 24-hour Air Force Contact Center at (800) 616-3775.


-- 30 --




The Air Force Personnel Center -- putting the Right People in the Right Place at the Right Time.
For more AFPC news and information, log on to our Web site at http://www.afpc.randolph.af.mil.
________________________________________________________________________
_________

You can now manage all your Air Force subscriptions from one location.
Go to http://www.af.mil/subscribe/

--------
You are currently subscribed to afpcns as: david.witt@X.mil If you wish to cancel your subscription at anytime, simply send a blank e-mail to leave-1989841-3494590.016c4ee232d47c87f6bde1ff4d544ea1@mercury.afnews.af
.mil.

~~~
published 26 oct 08

12 October 2008

Some financial sites

Some websites of use while deciding on investments.

morningstar.com: Allows you to see current quote as information on companies, as well as access historical data on stock performance. You can construct a portfolio of stocks based on current prices or historical ones, and analyze it with numerous metrics. This is all for free, more services available if you pay.

kitco.com: Tracks precious metal prices.

Lazy portfolios by Paul Farrell: Set it and forget it. I use the Yale portfolio.

Blimp

I was just driving home from dinner and I noticed a blimp flying overheard. It was lit from the inside, so it looked a bit like the moon, except for being blimp shaped, and had a digital display on the side. What makes this all the more impressive is that I live in the northwest part of Vegas and am surprised it would pay to advertise by blimp up here.

USAFA

In retrospect, I wish I had had a blog during my years at the academy...I journaled a little, and I still have a website I created back then, but blogging is so much easier, it would have lat me capture so much more in real time. A lot of history that would have been available to people.

I am looking for blogs by cadets right now, but I can't find any.

08 October 2008

Late publish

Just a couple of posts I finally finished.

Blood from a Stone - 24 Sep 08

Robot Mail - 30 Sep 08

07 October 2008

Air Force

I heard a rumor recently that next year AMC will only be able to man 5% of required pilot staff jobs. I guess we shouldn't have been paying people to quit (the VSP program) for two years.

03 October 2008

Papa Bear

An exchange at work I overheard:

Fox News was on and Bill O'Reilly was screaming at his guest, calling him a coward.

Guy 1: "Ah, I love to heard that."
Guy 2: "What's that?"
Guy 1: "Bill O'Reilly going off on someone."
Guy 2: "Oh. Who is that?" [It was Barney Frank, Chairman of the House Financial Services committee.]
Guy 1: "I dunno, I just love to hear Papa Bear speak his mind."